簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 陳芊妤
Chen, Chian-Yu
論文名稱: 資訊透明度與分析師行為—以中國家族企業為例
Information Transparency and Analysts' Behavior:The Evidence from Chinese Family Businesses
指導教授: 陳慧玲
Chen, Huei-Ling
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理研究所
Graduate Institute of Management
論文出版年: 2016
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 55
中文關鍵詞: 家族企業資訊透明度分析師盈餘預測分析師追蹤人數長期預測
英文關鍵詞: Family firms, Information transparency, Analysts’ earnings forecasts, The number of analyst following, Long-term forecasts
DOI URL: https://doi.org/10.6345/NTNU202204769
論文種類: 學術論文
相關次數: 點閱:217下載:3
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 本研究旨在探討中國家族企業資訊透明度與分析師行為之關聯性,以中國深圳交易所2009年至2013年之上市A股作為研究樣本,並以深圳交易所公告之資訊揭露評比作為企業資訊透明度衡量依據,透過分析師追蹤人數、分析師盈餘預測誤差、分析師盈餘預測離散程度及發佈長期預測之分析師人數四種特性,檢視分析師行為是否會因企業型態不同或資訊透明度不同而有所差異。本研究認為相較於非家族企業,中國家族企業會因為其資金成本考量及永續經營之聲譽,而傾向提高資訊透明度。而家族企業資訊透明度高低會對分析師追蹤人數及發佈長期預測之分析師人數造成影響,且當家族企業資訊透明度越高,會使得分析師具有較高的盈餘預測準確性與較低的盈餘預測離散程度。
    實證結果顯示,相較於非家族企業,家族企業的資訊透明度並無顯著較佳。若家族企業資訊透明度越佳,分析師追蹤人數增加但發佈長期預測之分析師人數減少。此外,家族企業資訊透明度越佳,並未顯著影響分析師盈餘預測準確性之提升與盈餘預測離散程度之降低。

    This paper aims to investigate the relations between information transparency of Chinese family firms and financial analysts’ behaviors. We use the A-share listed Chinese family firms in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2013 as samples. The rating of information disclosure evaluated by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange is used as the proxy of information transparency. We investigate whether business types and the magnitude of information transparency affect the number of analyst following, earnings forecast errors, earnings forecast dispersion, and the number of analysts issuing long-term forecasts. We propose that compared with non-family firms, Chinese family firms tend to increase the information transparency in order to lower cost of capital and maintain reputation. Furthermore, we conjecture that information transparency of Chinese family businesses may affect the number of analyst following and the number of analysts issuing long-term forecasts. We also propose that when the information transparency is higher, earnings forecasts are more accurate and earnings forecast dispersion is lower.
    Our findings indicate that the information transparency of family firms is not significantly better than that of non-family business. When the family firms has better information transparency, the number of analysts following increases but the number of analysts issuing long-term forecasts reduce. Moreover, information transparency does not significantly affect the accuracy of earnings forecasts and the degree of forecast dispersion.

    第一章、 緒論 1 第一節、 研究動機 1 第二節、 研究目的 3 第三節、 研究架構 4 第四節、 研究貢獻 6 第二章、 文獻回顧 7 第一節、 家族企業績效表現與公司價值 7 第二節、 家族企業與資訊揭露 9 第三節、 分析師預測及資訊揭露品質 10 第四節、 中國家族企業 11 第三章、 研究設計及方法 14 第一節、 研究假說 14 第二節、 變數定義 16 第三節、 實證模型 17 第四節、 樣本選取及資料來源 21 第四章、 實證結果 22 第一節、 樣本篩選及描述性統計 22 第二節、 實證結果分析 30 第三節、 敏感性分析 37 第五章、 結論與建議 50 第一節、 研究結論 50 第二節、 研究建議 51 參考文獻 52

    一、 中文部分
    于健南、王玉蓉與鐘小玲,2013,董事會行為、能力與企業價值─基於我國上市家族公司的經驗證據,中國商業會計,第11卷第22期:83-86。
    王克明與吳昌旻,2013,家族控制與大股東掏空─基於宏盛科技的案例分析,管理案例研究與評論,第6卷第6期:449-460。
    王寧,2012,家族與非家族企業資訊透明度實證比較研究,中國會計之友,第2期(上):100-103。
    朱元鴛與孔玉生,2012,家族企業上市公司治理結構現狀分析,中國財會通訊,第7期(中):24-25。
    李梅與石曉婷,2014,家族企業關系契約治理、企業財務績效與企業社會責任─基於A股上市家族企業的實證研究,中國西安財經學院學報,第27卷第1期:62-66。
    林嬋娟與張哲嘉,2009,董監事異常變動、家族企業與企業舞弊之關聯性,會計評論,第 48 期:1-33。
    徐鐵雲與翁波意,2014,上市公司董事會治理特徵與企業價值研究─來自家族上市公司數據,中國財會通訊,第2期(下):39-42。
    張儉與石本仁,2014,制度環境、兩權分離與家族企業現金股利行為─基於2007-2012年中國家族上市公司的經驗證據,中國當代財經,第5期:119-128。
    連燕玲、賀小剛、張遠飛與周兵,2011,危機沖擊、大股東”管家角色”與企業績效─基於中國上市公司實證分析,中國管理世界,第9期:142-155。
    陳建林,2012,上市家族企業管理模式對代理成本的影響─代理理論和利他主義理論的爭論和整合,中國管理評論,第24卷第5期:53-59。
    葉敏與季國民,2013,家族企業上市後公司治理結構的研究,中國長春工業大學學報(社會科學版),第25卷第5期:26-29。
    葉銀華,1999,家族控股集團、核心企業與報酬互動之研究-台灣與香港證券市場之比較,管理評論,第18卷第2期: 57-90。
    劉靚倩與苗澤惠,2014,上市公司家族控股對現金股利政策的影響─以用友軟件股份有限公司為例,中國財會通訊,第2期(中):61-62。
    謝隆斐,2012,金字塔持股結構下的現金股利政策─基於國有控股和家族上市企業的研究,中國金融視線,10月:126-127。
    龐竹,2012,家族控制權、管理權與公司業績─基於中國家族上市公司的實証研究,旅遊縱覽(行業版經濟發展研究),第9期(下):104-106。
    蘇勇與張軍,2012,家族企業集團:金字塔結構、多元化經營、企業績效─來自中國家族上市公司的經驗證據,中國蘭州學刊,第5期:122-129。

    二、 英文文獻
    Abbott, L. J., S. Parker, and G. F. Peters. 2004. Audit committee characteristics and financial misstatement: a study of the efficacy of certain Blue Ribbon Committee recommendation. Auditing: A Journal of Practice and Theory23(1): 69-87.
    Adams, R., H. Almeida, and D. Ferreira. 2009. Understanding the relationship between founder-CEOs and firm performance. Journal of Empirical Finance 16(1): 136-150.
    Ali, A. and T. Y. Chen, and S. Radhakrishnan. 2007. Corporate disclosures by family firms. Journal of Accounting and Economics 44: 238-286.
    Allen, F., J. Qian, and M. Qian. 2005. Law, finance, and economic growth in China. Journal of Financial Economics 77(1): 57-116.
    Anderson, R. C. and D. M. Reeb. 2003. Founding-family ownership and firm performance: Evidence from the S&P 500. Journal of Finance 58: 1301-1328.
    Anderson, R. C., S. A. Mansi, and D. M. Reeb. 2003. Founding family ownership and the agency cost of debt. Journal of Financial Economics 68: 263-285.
    Andres, C. 2008. Large shareholders and firm performance—An empirical examination of founding family ownership. Journal of Corporate Finance 14: 431-445.
    Beasley, M. S. 1996. An empirical analysis of the relation between the board of director composition and financial statement fraud. The Accounting Review 71(4): 443-465.
    Chen, C. J. P. and B. Jaggi. 2000. Association between independent non-executive directors, family control and financial disclosures in Hong Kong. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 19: 285-310.
    Chen, H., C.-T. Huang and H.-W. Lin. 2014. Changes in analyst following for less covered firms accompanying Regulation Fair Disclosure: the roles of ability and industry experience. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, forth coming.
    Chen, S., X., Chen, and Q. Cheng. 2008. Do family firms provide more or less voluntary disclosure? Journal of Accounting Research 45(3): 499-536.
    Claessens, S., S. Djankov, and L. H. P. Lang. 2000. The separation of ownership and control in East Asian corporations. Journal of Financial Economics 58: 81-112.
    Dechow, P. M., R. G. Sloan, and A. P. Sweeney. 1996. Causes and consequences of firms subject to enforcement actions by the SEC. Contemporary Accounting Research13: 1-36.
    Eng, L. L. and Y. T. Mak. 2003. Corporate governance and voluntary disclosure. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 22: 325-345.
    Fahlenbrach, R. 2009. Founder-CEOs, investment decisions, and stock market performance. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 44(2): 439-466.
    Fan, P. H. and T. J. Wong. 2002. Corporate ownership structure and the informativeness of accounting earnings in East Asia. Journal of Accounting and Economics 33: 401-425.
    Hermalin, B. E. and M. S. Weisbach. 2012. Information disclosure and corporate governance. Journal of Finance 67(1): 195-233.
    Irani, A. J., and I. Karamanou. 2003. Regulation fair disclosure, analyst following and analyst forecast dispersion. Accounting Horizons 17 (1): 15-29.
    Kanagaretnam, K., G. J. Lobo, and D. J. Whalen. 2007. Does good corporate governance reduce information asymmetry around quarterly earnings announcements? Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 26(4): 497-522.
    Klein, A. 2002. Audit committee, board of director characteristics, and earnings management. Journal of Accounting and Economics 33: 375-400.
    La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, and A. Shleifer. 1999. Corporate ownership around the world. Journal of Finance 54: 471-517.
    Lang, M. and R. Lundholm. 1996. Corporate disclosure policy and analyst behavior. The Accounting Review 71: 467-492.
    Maury, B. 2006. Family ownership and firm performance: empirical evidence from western European corporations. Journal of Finance 13: 321-341.
    Miller, D., I. L. Breton-Miller, R. H. Lester, and A. A. Cannella Jr. 2007. Are family firms really superior performers? Journal of Corporate Finance 13: 829-859.
    Mohanram, P. S., and S. V. Sunder. 2006. How has regulation FD affected the operations of financial analysts? Contemporary Accounting Research 23: 491–525.
    Peasnell, K. V., P. F. Pope, and S. Young. 2005. Board monitoring and earnings management: do outside directors influence abnormal accruals? Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 32(7-8): 1311-1346.
    Saito, T. 2008. Family firms and firm performance: evidence from Japan. Journalof Accounting and Economics 22: 620-646.
    Villalonga, B. and R. Amit. 2006. How do family ownership, control, and management affect firm value? Journal of Financial Economics 80: 395-417.
    Wang, D. 2006. Founding family ownership and earnings quality. Journal of Accounting Research 44: 619-656.

    下載圖示
    QR CODE