研究生: |
陳姿伶 |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
以生態棲位模擬推估外來蝶種於氣候變遷下在台灣之分布變動 Potential distribution changes of exotic butterflies in Taiwan under climate change |
指導教授: |
徐堉峰
Hsu, Yu-Feng |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
生命科學系 Department of Life Science |
論文出版年: | 2015 |
畢業學年度: | 103 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 128 |
中文關鍵詞: | 入侵種 、最大熵演算法 、暖化情境 |
DOI URL: | https://doi.org/10.6345/NTNU202205593 |
論文種類: | 學術論文 |
相關次數: | 點閱:115 下載:10 |
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近年來氣候變遷的情形被指出可能加速外來種擴散、促進外來種數量增加、提高外來種對原生種的競爭能力或增強外來種對經濟作物的迫害,甚至助長病媒的繁衍。而外來種的出沒在各地幾乎都會發生,部分外來種會對當地經濟、環境或生物多樣性造成迫害而被歸列為入侵種,因而成為許多研究者欲探討研究的對象。因此許多研究為了即早做出對外來種入侵的因應對策,便使用物種分布預測模式預測外來種的分布,以了解當外來種入侵時會向那些地方擴散,便於提早做出因應對策。因此本研究欲利用最大熵演算法預測2050年及2080年暖化情境下臺灣外來種蝴蝶的分布情形,並針對這些情形進行探討。結果顯示,來自於熱帶或亞熱帶地區已定居於臺灣的外來蝶種,皆可能繼續在臺灣擴散其分布區域;而尚未進入臺灣本島的外來蝶種也可能擴散進入臺灣本島。基本上影響多數外來蝶種的最重要因子皆與雨量相關。從結果可以發現,在氣候變遷的影響下,進入臺灣的外來蝶種分布確實受到影響,因此本研究針對會成為入侵種的外來蝶種進行探討,期望結果可以提供給保育物種做參考。
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