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研究生: 黃程煜
Huang, Cheng-Yu
論文名稱: 我國民眾對環境荷爾蒙之理解與避險之願付價格研究
The Opinion and Willingness to Pay for Averting from the Endocrine Disrupting Chemicals of the Residents in Taiwan
指導教授: 葉欣誠
Yeh, Shin-Cheng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 環境教育研究所
Graduate Institute of Environmental Education
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 116
中文關鍵詞: 環境荷爾蒙內分泌干擾物持久性有機污染物風險感知條件評估法願付價格
英文關鍵詞: Environmental Hormone, Endocrine Disrupting Chemicals, Persistent Organic Pollutants, Risk Perception, Contingent Valuation Method, Willingness to Pay
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6345/THE.NTNU.GEE.002.2018.F02
論文種類: 學術論文
相關次數: 點閱:218下載:3
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  • 環境荷爾蒙(內分泌干擾物質)對人體和生物可能產生不良的影響,在國際 上日趨受到重視。而我國經歷多起的環境荷爾蒙污染事件,所帶來的負面效應已 經引發各界的關切和討論。
    本研究透過問卷調查的方式,探討目前我國民眾對於環境荷爾蒙的相關知識、 態度、行動以及對於環境荷爾蒙、持久性有機污染物和塑化劑的風險感知。同時, 透過條件評估法(CVM)的支付卡法詢價方式,計算出我國民眾為了避免食物或容 器中含有環境荷爾蒙的願付價格(WTP),運用 OLS 和 Ordered Probit 迴歸模式建 立我國民眾的願付價格模型,用以推估我國民眾避免環境荷爾蒙出現在食物和容 器的非市場價值。
    研究發現我國民眾的知識題組表現不佳,在態度和行動題組表現趨於保守。 民眾聽聞塑化劑多於環境荷爾蒙和持久性有機污染物,在風險感知上,則是持久 性有機污染物高於塑化劑和環境荷爾蒙。透過以上分析,顯現出我國民眾對於環 境荷爾蒙相關的知識仍相當欠缺。
    願付價格調查方面,我國民眾的「年齡」、「月均所得」、「知識」、「態 度」和「行動」為避免環境荷爾蒙願付價格的重要影響變數。在 OLS 迴歸模型 下避免食物中含有環境荷爾蒙的估計值為18.78%。Ordered Probit模型下為15%。 在 OLS 迴歸模型下避免容器會溶出環境荷爾蒙的估計值為 20.21%。Ordered Probit 模型下為 15%,推估非市場價值區間分別為 5.3 億至 6.7 億和 5.3 億至 7.2 億元。同時,本研究透過路徑分析,探究變項與願付價格之關係,發現「知識」、 「風險感知」和「態度」和願付價格存在影響關係。

    Endocrine Disrupting Chemicals(EDCs) known as Environmental Hormones, may have adverse effects on living beings and human health. Over the past few decades, the issue of EDCs has widely discussed all over the world, Taiwan is not the exception. With the series of events related with EDCs, the issue of EDCs has received much attention from public in Taiwan.
    In this study, a questionnaire survey is conducted to know the knowledge, attitude, action and risk perception toward EDCs of the general public in Taiwan, in which their Willingness to Pay(WTP) for averting from the EDCs were also collected. Methods used in this study are Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) and payment card method. In empirical data analysis, OLS and Ordered Probit regression are employed to establish regression models of WTP.
    The results of analysis reveal that residents in Taiwan have insufficient knowledge of EDCs and take more conservative attitude and action to the issues of EDCs. The ratio of knowing plasticizer is higher than EDCs and persistent organic pollutants(POPs). For the risk perception, however, POPs is higher than plasticizer and EDCs.
    CVM’s results reveal that resident’s age, monthly income, knowledge, attitude and action are significant factors influencing WTP. In addition, the results show predicted WTP of averting from foods contained with EDCs: the OLS model’s estimate is 18.78%, the Ordered Probit model’s estimate is 15%, non-market value is between NT$5.3 to 6.7 billion. The predicted WTP of averting from containers contained with EDCs: the OLS model’s estimate is 20.21%, the Ordered Probit model’s estimate is 15%, non-market value is between NT$5.3 to 7.2 billion. By the result of path analysis, which shows knowledge, risk perception, attitude have siginificant relation to WTP.

    第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景 1 第二節 研究動機 3 第三節 研究目的與研究問題 6 第四節 研究範圍與限制 7 第五節 名詞定義 7 第二章 文獻探討 9 第一節 環境荷爾蒙基本理解 9 第二節 全球環境荷爾蒙的政策 11 第三節 非市場評估法的理論基礎與應用 16 第四節 條件評估法的理論基礎與應用 18 第三章 研究設計與實施 25 第一節 研究架構與步驟 25 第二節 問卷內容 29 第三節 研究對象與抽樣方法 31 第四節 研究工具 32 第五節 信效度檢測 34 第四章 實證分析 35 第一節 研究對象背景資料 35 第二節 環境荷爾蒙相關議題的覺知 38 第三節 環境荷爾蒙相關議題的知識 40 第四節 環境荷爾蒙、持久性有機污染物和塑化劑風險感知 44 第五節 環境荷爾蒙相關議題的態度 50 第六節 環境荷爾蒙相關議題的行動 53 第七節 避免環境荷爾蒙的願付價格調查 56 第八節 OLS迴歸分析 62 第九節 Ordered Probit迴歸分析 69 第十節 OLS和Ordered Probit價格推估 76 第十一節 相關分析 78 第十二節 路徑分析 80 第十三節 集群分析 92 第五章 結論與建議 95 第一節 結果與討論 95 第二節 建議 103 文獻參考 105 附錄一 113

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