研究生: |
蕭羽利 |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
芭瑪颱風(2009)與東北季風共伴效應之數值模擬分析 |
指導教授: | 簡芳菁 |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
地球科學系 Department of Earth Sciences |
論文出版年: | 2012 |
畢業學年度: | 100 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 123 |
中文關鍵詞: | 芭瑪 、地形 、東北季風 、共伴效應 、夫如數 |
論文種類: | 學術論文 |
相關次數: | 點閱:105 下載:9 |
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芭瑪(Parma)颱風於2009年10月3-7日通過呂宋島北方,颱風中心與台灣南端最近距離雖達250 km,仍在宜蘭以及花蓮地區造成超大豪雨。為了解降水機制,本研究利用數值模式(WRF)進行模擬,以探討東部地區強降水之成因,並針對颱風環流,與東北季風的共伴效應,以及台灣地形進行敏感度分析。
當颱風環流的暖溼空氣通過台灣東側,與東北方冷乾空氣輻合後西移,輻合氣流受地形抬升後舉升凝結,使對流發展旺盛而降下豪雨。其中宜蘭地區於颱風開始南移後有共伴效應加強水氣傳送,使降水持續。花蓮地區由於山脈緊鄰海岸且夫如數較宜蘭地區小,氣流不易被舉升,使降水量少且集中於外海。此外,芭瑪颱風移速緩慢,使對流系統通過台灣東側的時間加長,也是造成超大豪雨的原因之ㄧ。
本研究也利用改變地形高度、環流強弱等因素進行測試,發現
當地形降低時,於東岸低層氣流輻合減弱,同時氣流被舉升形成的對流胞亦減弱;當地形高度增加時,雖輻合強度增加,但此時夫如數僅0.4,低層氣流因不易被舉升而轉為繞山,使降水量減少。當環流減弱時,台灣東側之輻合強度、風速以及水氣混合比皆相對減弱,此時颱風內對流系統以及共伴效應所產生之對流胞強度亦較弱。同時,東北季風受地形舉升為東北部帶來持續且穩定的降水,經移除地形或移除芭瑪颱風的敏感度實驗,在宜蘭地區降水皆僅剩原本的1/3左右,顯示宜蘭地區之強降水主要是由地形與共伴效應交互作用而形成,芭瑪颱風外圍環流的對流系統對此區影響相對較小。
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