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研究生: 黃家儀
Huang, Chia-Yi
論文名稱: 透過使用者行為與廣告特性預測點擊率
Predicting Click-Through Rate in Display Ads from User Behavior and Ads Property
指導教授: 柯佳伶
Koh, Jia-Ling
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 資訊工程學系
Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 56
中文關鍵詞: 分群模型廣告點擊預測互信息值類神經網路模型架構
英文關鍵詞: group model, advertising click prediction, mutual information, neural network
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6345/THE.NTNU.DCSIE.042.2018.B02
論文種類: 學術論文
相關次數: 點閱:151下載:27
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  • 本論文研究廣告點擊預測方法,採用類神經網路架構為基礎,建立全體預測模型及分群預測模型,並比較採用四種不同類神經網路模型架構之預測效果。第一種架構是單屬性模型,以線性迴歸方法為基礎而建立的類神經網路模型架構;第二種架構是跨屬性模型,結合不同廣告欄位的屬性值,運用內積運算建立對應的特徵值;第三種架構是屬性權重因子分解機模型,為相關研究所提出的模型;第四種是FwFMs改良版模型,採用第三種模型的架構,但將部分參數固定採用跨欄位互信息值為權重值。本論文並對大量資料的資料分群提出兩種分割處理後再合併的分群方法,用來對測試資料選取適用的分群預測模型。第一種是雅卡爾相似分數群集法,第二種是餘弦相似分數群集法。實驗評估顯示,全體預測模型於FwFMs改良版模型架構,準確度可達76.40%。在分群預測模型中,採用四種類神經網路模型架構皆可提升準確度,最高可達76.58%。此外,採用餘弦相似分數群集法,能快速有效的對測試資料選取適當的分群預測模型。

    The purpose of this study is to investigate the prediction method of advertising clicking, which adopts the foundation of neural network models. Four different neural network architectures are constructed for solving this task to compare their predicting effects. The first one is the Single Field Model, which was designed based on the linear regression method. The second one is the Cross Field Model, which combines various features of advertisement fields and performs inner product to build the corresponding features. The third one is the Field-weighted Factorization model, denoted as FwFMs, which is proposed in the related work. We modified the model of FwFMs by assigning the cross field mutual information to be the fixed weights of a hidden layer to propose the Modified-FwFMs. Furthermore, the global predicting model and group predicting model learned from the total training data sets and the clusters of similar data sets are constructed, respectively. Due to the large quantity of data, we proposed two data clustering methods, based on partitioning then merging, to construct the appropriate group predicting model for the data set. The first clustering method is designed based on the Jaccard similarity score. The second one is to perform data clustering based on the cosine similarity score. The results of the experiments show that the predicting accuracy of the global predicting model based on the Modified-FwFMs achieves 76.40%. In addition, the group predicting model can improve the prediction accuracy for all the four neural network neural network architectures. Furthermore, the cosine similarity scoring method can select appropriate group predicting model for data effectively and efficiently.

    第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究動機 1 1.2 研究目的 2 1.3 論文方法 3 1.4 論文架構 4 第二章 文獻探討 5 2.1 行為定向廣告 (Behavior Targeting Advertising) 5 2.2 廣告預測學習模型 6 2.2.1 淺層學習模型 (Shallow Learning Layer) 6 2.2.2 深度學習模型 (Deep Learning Layer) 9 2.2.3 混合式學習模型 (Hybrid Learning Layer) 10 第三章 系統架構 14 3.1 系統簡介 14 3.2 資料前處理 15 <1> 特徵選取與創建 (Feature Selection and Creation) 15 <2> 資料平均抽樣 (Data Sampling) 20 <3> 獨熱編碼 (One-Hot Encoding) 21 3.3 資料分群方法 23 <1> 子資料集內雅卡爾相似分數計算 (Jaccard Similarity Score) 24 <2> 眾分群間餘弦相似度計算 (Cosine Similarity Score) 26 <3> 分群模型之判別 28 第四章 類神經網路模型建立 29 4.1 單屬性模型 (Single Field Model) 30 4.2 跨屬性模型 (Cross Field Model) 31 4.3 屬性權重因子分解機模型 (Field-weighted Factorization Model, FwFMs ) 32 4.4 FwFMs模型改良版 (Modified FwFMs Model) 34 第五章 實驗結果與討論 35 5.1 資料集與參數設定介紹 35 5.2 評估指標 37 5.3 互信息值之結果討論 39 5.4 全體資料模型之效果評估 40 5.5 分群資料模型之效果評估 42 <1> 分群資料模型判別方法效果評估 42 <2> 群組數量之預測效果評估 43 <3> 各群組模型預測效果評估 44 <4> 合成模型(Ensemble Model)之效果評估與比較 50 第六章 結論與未來研究方向 51 參考文獻 52

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