研究生: |
劉乙儒 Yi-Ju, Liu |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
投資人交易行為與價格發現之探討─ 以台灣市場為例 Investors' Trading Behavior and Market Price Discovery- The Case of Taiwan Markets |
指導教授: | 蔡蒔銓 |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
全球經營與策略研究所 Graduate Institute of Global Business and Strategy |
論文出版年: | 2014 |
畢業學年度: | 102 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 61 |
中文關鍵詞: | 價格發現 、共整合檢定 、資訊份額模型 |
英文關鍵詞: | Price discovery, VECM, IS |
論文種類: | 學術論文 |
相關次數: | 點閱:621 下載:0 |
分享至: |
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究探討國內散戶、國內機構法人與外資機構法人三類投資人之交易行為與價格發現貢獻之關係,樣本則取2008年1月2日至2009年3月31日中台灣加權股價指數、台指期貨及台指選擇權之日內每分鐘高頻資料。首先利用ADF單根檢定檢視資料序列是否為定態,再藉由Johansen 共整合檢定進一步探討此兩序列之間的共整合關係,確認三種台股指數商品市場的價格都反映相同的基本資訊即長期下具有均衡的關係,而其中台指選擇權之價格序列則來自於利用PCP關係式(Put-Call-Parity)取代傳統研究的B-S模型及二項式模型所反推出的隱含現貨價格。
最後討論各類投資人交易是否與Hasbrouck (1995)所提出的市場資訊比例模型(information share model)之變動有關,並且分別加入開收盤半小時區間虛擬變數做個別觀察。而投資人行為其中包含投資人積極度、各類投資人占總交易比例、流動性、波動率與價格發現之貢獻率進行分析,檢視資訊份額比例是否會因投資人因素而被影響。
本篇之實證結果在選擇權價格發現功能上,又以外資扮演重要幕後推手之職,無論積極或是不積極的外資皆正向帶動選擇權之資訊比例份額,表示握有資訊的外資投資人於開盤交易之活動為顯著具有資訊性。則也因期貨市場領先現貨市場的原因,散戶先於期貨市場交易,事後牽動著現貨市場的資訊比例,此於Fisher(1966)、Cohan et al.(1986)、Lo and MacKinlay(1988)、Stoll and Whaley(1990)之結論相符。 積極散戶也在開盤半小時內於期貨市場進行的交易活動顯著正向影響現貨之資訊比例份額。而國內法人之交易行為則在此較無具資訊性,並無顯著結果。
In this study, we modify the information share (IS) originally proposed by Hasbrouck, J.(1995) to discuss investors behavior which included domestic individual investor, domestic and foreign Institutional Investor.
And this article also covered three markets to give example, such as Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE), Taiwan stock index option (TAIEX Options) and Taiwan stock index future(TAIEX Futures). The implied price of option here is using the Put-Call-Parity to replace the traditional B-S model.
We check if there is any connection between those three kinds of investor to the Financial Instruments information share.
The empirical results show that foreign Institutional Investor is taking an important role on the function of option price discovery. Hence, the evidence supports the viewpoints by Fisher(1966)、Cohan et al.(1986)、Lo and MacKinlay(1988)、Stoll and Whaley(1990). On the other hand, the domestic brokers are tending to without information advantage in this research period. And vice versa, the domestic individual investors have contributed to the price discovery function of Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index market.
謝文良(2002),〈價格發現、資訊傳遞、與市場整合——台股期貨市場之研究〉,《財務金融學刊》,第十卷,第三期,頁1-31。
詹錦宏、施介人(2005),〈台股指數現貨、期貨與選擇權價格發現之研究〉,
《台灣金融財務季刊》,第六卷,第一期,頁31-51。
杜化宇、王凱蒂(2003),〈台股指數期貨日內價格發現與週日效應型態之
研究:初期的證據〉,《東吳經濟商學學報》,第四十三期,頁41-78。
Fleming, J., Ostdiek, B., & Whaley, R. (1996). Trading costs and the relative rates of price discovery in stock, futures and option markets. Journal of Futures Markets, 16, 353-387.
Hasbrouck, J. (1995). One security, many markets: Determining the contributions to price discovery. Journal of Finance, 50, 1175-1199.
Baillie, R.T., Booth, G.G., Tse, Y., and Zabotina, T. (2002), ”Price discovery and common factor models”, Journal of Financial Markets, Vol.5, pp. 309–321.
Covrig, V., Ding, D.K., and Low, B.S. (2004). The contribution of a satellite market to price discovery: Evidence from the Singapore exchange, Journal of Futures Markets, Vol.24, No.10, pp. 981–1004.
Mittnik, S., & Rieken, S. (2000). Put-call parity and the informational efficiency of the German DAX-index options market. International Review of Financial Analysis, 9, 259-279.
Roope, M., & Zurbruegg, R. (2002). The intra-day price discovery process
between the Singapore exchange and Taiwan futures exchange. Journal of
Futures Markets, 22, 219-240.
Amber Anand, & Sugato Chakravarty. (2005). Stealth-Trading in Options Markets. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,
Chan, K., Y. P. Chung, and W. M. Fong. (2002). The Informational Role of Stock and Option Volume. Review of Financial Studies, 15, 1049-1075.
Finucane, T.J. (1999). A New Measure of the Direction and Timing of Information Flow between Markets. Journal of Financial Markets, 2, 135-151.
Sugato Chakravarty, Huseyin Gulen, & Stewart Mayhew. (2004). Informed Trading in Stock and Option Markets. The Journal of finance, 3, 1235- 1257.
Hasbrouck, J. (2003) Intraday Price Formation in U.S. Equity Index Markets. Journal of Finance, 58, 2375-2399.
Kurov, A., and D. Lasser. (2004) Price Dynamics in the Regular and E-Mini Futures Markets. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39, 365-384.
Lehmann, B. N. (2002) Some Desiderata for the Measurement of Price Discovery across Markets. Journal of Financial Markets, 5, 259-276.
Gonzalo, J., Granger, C.W.J., (1995). Estimation of Common Long-memory Components in Cointegrated Systems. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 13, 27–36.
Tse, Y., (2000). Further examination Of Price Discovery On The NYSE and Regional Exchanges. Journal of Financial Research 23, 331–351.
Hee-J. A., Jangkoo K., Doojin R., (2008). Informed trading in the Index option Markets: THE CASE OF KOSPI 200 OPTIONS. The Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 28, No. 12, 1118–1146